This entry was posted on Monday, March 12th, 2007 at 1:11 am and is filed under Trades. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
I decided I better hurry up and make a post else people would start thinking this was only Dave’s blog. Although he has been doing most of the posting so far, now that I’ve got the site complete on the technical side I will be contributing more.
The first symbol I want to talk about is USO, the Oil ETF. I have a trend following system I wrote in Wealth-Lab called “fuzzyma”. The name comes from the entry logic which uses a MA crossover type with a twist to help avoid whipsaws (hence the fuzzy part). It also allows one follow on entry, so any symbol can have a maximum of 2 entries. I trade this system on a list of 30 high volume ETFs containing most of the individual foreign markets (EWJ, EWC, EWY, etc) , the large US inidices (QQQQ, IWM) and any commodity ETFs I can find (USO, SLV, GLD, etc).
This system has triggered a 2nd entry on USO for Monday. My original entry was 2/9/07 @ 50.05. Looking at the chart below, you can see how the first entry was based on what could be the beginning of a new uptrend and the second entry (tomorrow) is taking advantage of the recent consolodation.
March 12th, 2007 at 1:43 am
Ah the good ol’ fuzzy analysis! Stop by my site, I use neural nets to model macro trends. Glad to see you back!
March 12th, 2007 at 2:00 am
Do you actually take into consideration where the respective resistance and support levels for USO is in your timing model?
March 12th, 2007 at 12:38 pm
Jason -
My ETF system is 100% mechanical and does not include any support/resistance components at this time. However, that might be an interesting thing to look at adding in the future.
March 22nd, 2007 at 8:50 pm
[...] couple weeks ago I made reference to my fuzzy trending system I use to trade ETFs. At the time, it was holding mostly commodities (USO and GLD). [...]
April 15th, 2007 at 7:58 pm
[...] my post a month ago, I chronicled how I had received a second entry in my ETF trend following system for [...]
May 6th, 2007 at 4:27 pm
[...] make the majority of my money in the market from my equity swing system and my ETF trend following system, which were both designed to be exteremly low maintenance and tradeable without monitoring the [...]
May 10th, 2007 at 10:21 pm
[...] shopping, etc. Anyway, I wanted to follow up on the USO trade I mentioned in my previous posts here and here. I received an exit signal on 5/3 to exit at the open on 5/4. Here is the chart of the [...]
June 17th, 2007 at 10:06 pm
[...] tonight, I saw a new buy signal for a familiar symbol, USO. As longer term readers may recall, I first purchased USO back in early March. That trade bounced around for awhile until it became a small loser in early May. Now that I [...]